The Green Tech Wish List for 2011 : Greentech MediaGreen Tech關於Renewable Energy在2011的一些想法....
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Things We’d Like to See Happen in Green Technology:
--The U.S. Establishes Long-Term Energy Policies.
--Time-of-Use Pricing Begins to Spread.
--Coal Peaks. Rising demand, particularly from China, could mean the end of cheap coal.
--Green Tech Stops Being a Dirty Word. In 2010, Mississippi gave $169 million in loans and grants to three green startups to build plants in the state.
--The Holy Grail in Storage Appears. Investors are prowling for a breakthrough technology -- solid state batteries, ammonia fuel cells
Things We Think Will Happen in 2011:
--Utilities Become Hip.
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Solar Expands. Solar companies will ship 18 gigawatts of panels in 2011 (compared to 170 megawatts in 2000), while a growing number of companies will saunter under the magic $1-per-watt mark in manufacturing. It won't be like the titanic growth we saw in 2010, but it will still be positive.
Grid parity could be achieved in parts of Italy and Japan.
--Electric Cars Are a Hit.
--Chinese Becomes Familiar. In 2007, would you have thought Yingli Green Energy or Trina Solar or BYD might become well-known brands? Chinese companies are known for low-cost manufacturing, but in 2011 many will try to establish brand names, like their Japanese and South Korean counterparts decades earlier. China could boost U.S. employment, too. Silicon Valley’s Innovalight sells magic ink to Chinese solar companies, while Suntech, China’s big solar maker, has a module manufacturing facility in Arizona.
--AT&T, Google and Comcast Become Utilities. Communications carriers and computer companies will start to offer energy management services to homes and businesses. Pay $15 to save $25 on your power bill? We’ve heard worse offers.
--Merger Mania Grips Green. Acquisitions, particularly in solar, lighting and efficiency, will continue. BrightSource Energy, MiaSolé and a few others may even attempt IPOs, but the IPO class of 2009 was a mixed bag.
--The Department of Defense Becomes a Market Maker. Critics might complain about bloated budgets and inefficiencies, but DoD buying is how the semiconductor industry took flight.
Things We Hope Won’t Happen:
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Oil drops to $60 a barrel.--
Clashes Over Wind and Solar Farms. --LED Bulbs Flop.
--VCs Retreat to the Sidelines. Green may not fit ideally with the VC model, but it remains the best way to take lab concepts commercial.
--High-Profile Companies Backed by Government Loans Sink. Solyndra is the test case.
--The Public Gets Climate Fatigue.
--The Tax Credits Lapse Again.
